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DOI:10.1002/ecs2.4740 - Corpus ID: 269116676
@article{Montgomery2023ForecastingGS, title={Forecasting global spread of invasive pests and pathogens through international trade}, author={Kellyn Montgomery and Chelsey Walden-Schreiner and Ariel Saffer and Christopher M. Jones and Benjamin J. Seliger and Thom Worm and Laura G. Tateosian and Makiko Shukunobe and Sunil Kumar and Ross K. Meentemeyer}, journal={Ecosphere}, year={2023}, url={https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:269116676}}- Kellyn Montgomery, Chelsey Walden-Schreiner, Ross K. Meentemeyer
- Published in Ecosphere 1 December 2023
- Environmental Science, Economics, Biology
A flexible spatiotemporal stochastic network model called PoPS (Pest or Pathogen Spread) Global that couples international trade networks with core drivers of biological invasions—climate suitability, host availability, and propagule pressure—quantified through open, globally available databases to forecast the spread of non‐native plant pests.
2 Citations
1
2 Citations
- Jean-Pierre RossR. MouttetPascal RousseJ. Streito
- 2024
Environmental Science, Geography
Trees, Forests and People
- K. MontgomeryV. PetrasYuji TakeuchiC. Katsar
- 2022
Environmental Science
Risk analysis : an official publication of the…
Invasive nonnative plant pests can cause extensive environmental and economic damage and are very difficult to eradicate once established. Phytosanitary inspections that aim to prevent biological…
- 1
- PDF
72 References
- Laura G. TateosianAriel SafferChelsey Walden-SchreinerMakiko Shukunobe
- 2023
Environmental Science, Computer Science
Comput. Environ. Urban Syst.
- 8
- PDF
- K. MontgomeryV. PetrasYuji TakeuchiC. Katsar
- 2022
Environmental Science
Risk analysis : an official publication of the…
Invasive nonnative plant pests can cause extensive environmental and economic damage and are very difficult to eradicate once established. Phytosanitary inspections that aim to prevent biological…
- 1
- PDF
- Ayano Nakash*taYayun WangSihan LuKeisuke ShimadaT. Tsuchida
- 2022
Environmental Science, Biology
Scientific Reports
Results suggest that environmental factors and genetic characteristics of L. delicatula are involved in the relatively slow expansion of its distribution in Hokuriku, and in Okayama, where precipitation is relatively low, the rapidly increasing haplotype in Korea and the USA was detected, leading to concerns that its distribution will expand further.
- 9
- PDF
- Devon A. GaydosChris Jones R. Meentemeyer
- 2021
Environmental Science, Biology
Ecological applications : a publication of the…
Recognizing the strengths of both tangible and online interfaces for collaboratively forecasting biological invasions and devising control strategies, workbench‐style interfaces that support simultaneous interactions and dynamic geospatial visualizations are suggested.
- 3
- PDF
- Chris JonesShannon M. Jones R. Meentemeyer
- 2021
Environmental Science, Biology
Frontiers in ecology and the environment
This work describes a species‐agnostic, open‐source framework – called the Pest or Pathogen Spread (PoPS) Forecasting Platform – for co‐designing near‐term iterative forecasts of biological invasions and demonstrates that iterative calibration yields higher forecast skill than using only the earliest‐available data to predict future spread.
- 19
- PDF
- J. RistainoPamela K. Anderson Qingshan Wei
- 2021
Environmental Science, Agricultural and Food Sciences
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
An integrated research agenda that could help mitigate future plant disease pandemics is described that includes disease surveillance and improved detection technologies including pathogen sensors and predictive modeling and data analytics.
- 100
- PDF
- C. DiagneB. Leroy F. Courchamp
- 2021
Environmental Science, Economics
Nature
The InvaCost database shows that the costs of biological invasions have markedly increased between 1970 and 2017 and show no sign of slowing down, highlighting the importance of evidence-based and cost-effective management actions.
- 540
- PDF
- Diyang CuiS. LiangDongdong WangZheng Liu
- 2021
Environmental Science
Earth System Science Data
Abstract. The Köppen-Geiger climate classification scheme provides an effective and ecologically meaningful way to characterize climatic conditions and has been widely applied in climate change…
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- I. JarićC. Bellard U. Roll
- 2021
Biology
Conservation biology : the journal of the Society…
Invasion Culturomics and iEcology Ivan Jarić , ∗ Céline Bellard , Ricardo A. Correia , Franck Courchamp , Karel Douda , Franz Essl , Jonathan M. Jeschke , Gregor Kalinkat , Lukáš Kalous , Robert J.…
- 20
- PDF
- P. Hulme
- 2021
Environmental Science, Biology
Bioscience
One Biosecurity underpins three initiatives essential to deal with the pandemic risks from biological invasions: new risk assessment tools that look beyond national borders toward bioseCurity risks of international concern, a stronger regulatory instrument to address biosec security threats at a worldwide scale, and the establishment of a multilateral biose curity convention responsible for biosekurity governance.
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